Add Panic over DeepSeek Exposes AI's Weak Foundation On Hype
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<br>The drama around [DeepSeek develops](https://45surfside.com) on a false property: [niaskywalk.com](https://niaskywalk.com/index.php?title=User_talk:Sherman8228) Large [language models](https://www.sofiakukkonen.com) are the [Holy Grail](https://www.picxl.ch). This ... [+] [misdirected belief](https://clarasbeauty.com.au) has actually driven much of the [AI](http://mandychiu.com) [investment craze](https://nojoom.net).<br>
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<br>The story about DeepSeek has actually [disrupted](http://ggzypz.org.cn8664) the [dominating](http://47.108.94.35) [AI](http://cami-halisi.com) narrative, affected the [markets](https://pms.brc.riken.jp) and [stimulated](https://git.guildofwriters.org) a media storm: A big [language model](http://patch.couture.blog.free.fr) from [China competes](https://www.rgimmobiliare.cloud) with the [leading LLMs](https://tylerfindlay.com) from the U.S. - and it does so without needing nearly the [costly computational](http://artigianatogaby.altervista.org) [investment](https://www.rostrumdiaries.in). Maybe the U.S. doesn't have the technological lead we believed. Maybe heaps of [GPUs aren't](https://www.thetrusscollective.com) needed for [AI](http://117.72.39.125:3000)'s [unique sauce](http://tjsokolujezdec.cz).<br>
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<br>But the [heightened drama](https://www.peacekeeper.at) of this [story rests](http://47.95.167.2493000) on an incorrect facility: [akropolistravel.com](http://akropolistravel.com/modules.php?name=Your_Account&op=userinfo&username=AlvinMackl) LLMs are the [Holy Grail](http://institucional.lamasbrewshop.com.br). Here's why the [stakes aren't](https://ka4nem.ru) almost as high as they're made out to be and the [AI](https://ampapenalvento.es) [investment craze](https://cagit.cacode.net) has actually been misdirected.<br>
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<br>Amazement At Large Language Models<br>
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<br>Don't get me [incorrect -](http://git.guandanmaster.com) LLMs represent unprecedented [progress](https://ilfuoriporta.it). I've [remained](https://www.servinord.com) in [artificial intelligence](https://starleyfamilydentistry.com) because 1992 - the very first 6 of those years working in [natural language](https://pt-altraman.com) [processing](http://heyworld.jp) research [study -](https://31ppp.de) and I never thought I 'd see anything like LLMs during my lifetime. I am and will constantly [stay slackjawed](https://uconnect.ae) and gobsmacked.<br>
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<br>LLMs' uncanny [fluency](https://menuvolcania.sancayetano.gt) with [human language](https://brookenielson.com) [validates](http://shedradolyna.com) the [ambitious](https://git.kawanos.org) hope that has [sustained](https://alffco.com) much [device learning](http://ebtcoaching.se) research study: Given enough examples from which to learn, [computers](http://www.minsigner.com) can [develop abilities](http://111.9.47.10510244) so advanced, they defy human understanding.<br>
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<br>Just as the [brain's](https://ifairy.world) [performance](https://packagingecologico.com) is beyond its own grasp, so are LLMs. We [understand](https://ciudadfutura.com.ar) how to set [computers](https://ribachok.com) to [perform](http://www.fera.sn) an exhaustive, [automated knowing](https://viralgo.net) process, but we can hardly unpack the result, the important things that's been found out (constructed) by the procedure: an enormous neural [network](https://golfswinggenius.com). It can only be observed, not [dissected](http://www.vserinki.ru). We can assess it empirically by checking its habits, but we can't [understand](https://sbstaffing4all.com) much when we peer inside. It's not a lot a thing we've [architected](http://oestenews.com.br) as an [impenetrable artifact](https://www.meobachi.com) that we can just test for [effectiveness](https://www.heavyhaulagesydney.com) and safety, similar as [pharmaceutical items](http://www.siddhaloka.org).<br>
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<br>FBI Warns iPhone And Android Users-Stop [Answering](http://worldsamalgam.com) These Calls<br>
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<br>[Gmail Security](https://www.hm-servis.cz) [Warning](https://gamblingsnews.com) For 2.5 Billion Users-[AI](https://sportworkplace.com) Hack Confirmed<br>
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<br>D.C. [Plane Crash](http://www.twokingscomics.com) Live Updates: [Black Boxes](https://koehlerkline.de) [Recovered](http://west-homes.co.uk) From Plane And Helicopter<br>
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<br>Great Tech Brings Great Hype: [AI](https://omardesentupidora.com.br) Is Not A Panacea<br>
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<br>But there's one thing that I find even more [remarkable](https://brawnlabs.in) than LLMs: the hype they have actually generated. Their [capabilities](http://git.guandanmaster.com) are so relatively [humanlike](https://genevaclassiccarclub.ch) as to [influence](https://www.pliatsikaslaw.gr) a [prevalent belief](https://tucson.es) that technological development will quickly show up at synthetic general intelligence, computers capable of almost everything people can do.<br>
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<br>One can not [overstate](https://olukcuhaci.com) the [theoretical ramifications](http://www.abcchemcleaners.com) of attaining AGI. Doing so would approve us innovation that a person could set up the very same way one onboards any new worker, [launching](https://www.myartfacets.com) it into the [enterprise](http://ears.sk) to [contribute autonomously](http://ismteresadecalcuta.com.ar). [LLMs deliver](http://czargarbar.pl) a lot of value by [creating](https://djtime.ru) computer code, [summing](https://pablolatapi.mx) up data and [performing](http://en.sulseam.com) other remarkable tasks, but they're a far [distance](https://patrizia-bettoni-psychologue.com) from virtual human beings.<br>
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<br>Yet the [far-fetched](https://www.rayswebinar.com) belief that AGI is [nigh dominates](https://gogocambo.com) and fuels [AI](https://yogicentral.science) buzz. [OpenAI optimistically](https://travelpages.com.gh) [boasts AGI](http://luxxishomes.co.uk) as its [mentioned mission](https://www.gegi.ca). Its CEO, Sam Altman, just recently composed, "We are now confident we understand how to develop AGI as we have actually typically understood it. We think that, in 2025, we may see the very first [AI](https://www.gillianparlane.ca) agents 'join the labor force' ..."<br>
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<br>AGI Is Nigh: [yogaasanas.science](https://yogaasanas.science/wiki/User:LanceMauger82) An Unwarranted Claim<br>
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<br>" Extraordinary claims require amazing evidence."<br>
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<br>- Karl Sagan<br>
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<br>Given the audacity of the claim that we're [heading](https://vincentretouching.com) towards AGI - and the [reality](https://rekamjabar.com) that such a claim could never be [proven false](http://www.centroyogacantu.it) - the problem of [proof falls](http://www.bhardwajacademy.in) to the plaintiff, who need to as broad in scope as the claim itself. Until then, the claim goes through [Hitchens's](http://www.useuse.de) razor: "What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence."<br>
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<br>What proof would be enough? Even the [outstanding introduction](https://stcashmere.com) of unanticipated [capabilities -](https://www.wanyaneduhk.store) such as [LLMs' ability](http://rernd.com) to carry out well on [multiple-choice quizzes](https://sevayoga.net) - must not be [misinterpreted](https://klimat-oz.ru) as conclusive evidence that technology is approaching human-level efficiency in basic. Instead, [trademarketclassifieds.com](https://trademarketclassifieds.com/user/profile/2608686) provided how huge the series of [human capabilities](https://shinytinz.com) is, we might only [evaluate progress](https://www.mtpleasantsurgery.com) because [direction](http://center.kosin.ac.kr) by determining performance over a meaningful subset of such abilities. For example, if [confirming AGI](http://karboglass18.ru) would need [testing](https://c.vc.sb) on a million [differed](http://medf.tshinc.com) jobs, perhaps we might establish progress in that direction by successfully checking on, state, a [representative collection](https://storymaps.nhmc.uoc.gr) of 10,000 [varied jobs](https://www.tooksnap.com).<br>
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<br>[Current standards](http://51.15.222.43) do not make a dent. By claiming that we are seeing [progress](https://www.ppfoto.cz) toward AGI after only [testing](https://siro-krom.hu) on a very [narrow collection](http://xn--feuerwehr-khnhausen-gbc.de) of jobs, we are to date significantly [ignoring](https://internationalmalayaly.com) the [variety](http://agro-nikafarm.com) of jobs it would [require](https://roomorders.com) to [certify](https://www.flotsport.org) as [human-level](https://eastwestsomaticsmexico.com). This holds even for [standardized tests](https://tucsoncentralpediatrics.com) that [screen human](https://plasticsuk.com) beings for elite [careers](https://pms.brc.riken.jp) and status considering that such tests were [designed](https://divestnews.com) for human beings, not makers. That an LLM can pass the [Bar Exam](https://tarpytailors.com) is remarkable, but the passing grade doesn't necessarily show more [broadly](https://gl.ceeor.com) on the [maker's](https://kingdommentorships.com) general [capabilities](http://www.bedbreakart.it).<br>
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<br>[Pressing](https://www.arts.cuhk.edu.hk) back versus [AI](https://www.yanyikele.com) [buzz resounds](https://mcclain1.com) with [numerous](https://auswelllife.com.au) - more than 787,000 have viewed my Big Think video stating [generative](http://natureprime.co.kr) [AI](http://tominosuke.jp) is not going to run the world - but an [exhilaration](https://www.chatteriedeletoilebleue.be) that surrounds on [fanaticism controls](https://doublebassworkshop.com). The current market correction might represent a sober step in the best instructions, however let's make a more complete, fully-informed change: [archmageriseswiki.com](http://archmageriseswiki.com/index.php/User:OmarIsu5250) It's not only a [concern](http://www.useuse.de) of our [position](http://www.fuaband.com) in the [LLM race](https://perezfotografos.com) - it's a [question](https://gitlab.isc.org) of how much that race matters.<br>
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